1.1 Motivation and significance of the study

1.2 Problem statement and objective of the study

2.1 Data collection and measuring scales

2.2 Time series Box-Jenkins methodology (ARIMA)

2.3 Compound growth exponential regression model (CGREM)

2.4 Cuddy-Della-Valle instability index

2.6 Decomposition analysis model

2.7 Goodness of fit for better fitted model

3.1 Box-Jenkins ARIMA techniques

3.2 Compound growth exponential regression model combined with ARIMA

3.3 Cuddy Della Valle instability index and compound growth rate

3.4 Sporadic variations in compound growth rate

3.5 Integrating the growth rate and decomposition analysis model