Research Note |
Corresponding author: Yasmeen Jamali ( yasmeenjamali@gmail.com ) © 2024 Yasmeen Jamali, David Jean Simon.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Jamali Y, Jean Simon D (2024) Modern Contraception in Pakistan: A Cross-Sectional Study. Population and Economics 8(1): 77-96. https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.8.e106872
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Despite numerous family planning awareness campaigns, modern contraceptive prevalence remains low in Pakistan. This reality stimulates risky sexual behaviours and compromises reproductive rights. Our study has explored factors associated with modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan.
This study used data from the 2017-2018 Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS). A total of 10,282 married women who were sexually active during the last 3 months prior to the survey were included in this study.
The prevalence of modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan equals to 27.7%. Furthermore, the results indicate that age, region, education level, wealth index, fieldworker visit, and number of children were significantly associated with modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan.
The group of sexually active married women in Pakistan is not homogeneous. In order to increase prevalence of modern contraception in this population, different groups of women should be targeted with family planning interventions specific to their needs.
sexually active, married women, modern contraceptive use, factors, Demographic and Health survey, Pakistan
Target 3.7 of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 3 proclaims a universal access to sexual and reproductive health services by 2030 globally (WHO 2018). Modern contraceptive use is recognized as an important factor for achieving SDGs as potentially improving maternal, new-born and child health outcomes (
Despite the increase in modern contraceptive use, there are differences between the developed, low and middle income countries (
The Pakistan annual population growth rate is 2.4% (WPP UN 2022); the total fertility rate (TFR) equals to 3.6 births per woman in Pakistan; it is 3.9 in rural areas versus 2.9 in urban areas. However, the desired fertility rate in Pakistan is 2.9 meaning that women want on average 0.7 children less than the current fertility rate. Moreover, the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) among married women is only 34%: 25% of them using modern and 9% - traditional methods of contraception. It is worth noting that the contraceptive use has stagnated over the last five years (PDHS 2012-13, 35% and PDHS 2018-19 - 34%). Similarly, within 5 years preceding the survey, out of all births, 5% were unwanted and 7% were mistimed at the time of conception, and the abortion rate reached 50 per 1000 women aged 15-49 (National Institute… and ICF 2019). Both the population growth rate and large size challenge Pakistan to all development indicators, particularly, maternal and child health (
The above discussed context of population growth and contraceptive prevalence rate calls for an analysis of the factors associated with the use of modern contraceptive methods. This study, humble in its objective, attempts to identify the factors associated with modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan.
A family planning program in Pakistan was initiated in the 1960s with a high political and financial commitment from both the government and donors (
The political support was revived in the 1990s with the launch of the National Program for Family Planning and Community Health that comprised the workforce of Lady Health Workers (LHWs) and engaged private sector via social marketing (
The law in Pakistan allows for abortion in the first three months of pregnancy (
Located in South Asia, the Republic of Pakistan is the fifth most populous country in the world. According to United Nations, its population was estimated to be 240.5 million in 2023 for an area of 804 000 km2, and 63% of them living in rural areas. Further, 49,5% of the Pakistan population is composed of women, 50% of them are of childbearing age (UN Department… 2022). Pakistan’s GDP equals to $346.3 billion (current US$) (World Bank and OECD 2022). The poverty headcount measured using the national poverty line decreased from 64.3% in 2001 to 21.9% in 2018 (World Bank 2022). Administratively, Pakistan is divided into the following four provinces: Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Balochistan. Punjab is the most populated province of Pakistan with the highest economic activities and best health and educational infrastructure (UNDP 2020).
We used data from the most recent Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS), which was conducted from November 2017 to April 2018. The 2017-2018 PDHS is a nationally representative survey implemented by the National Institute of Population Studies (NIPS) in collaboration with the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations and Coordination (NHSRC), ICF International, and Department for International Development (DFID) of the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) (National Institute… and ICF 2019). The survey collected data on a wide range of public health-related issues including demographics characteristics, socioeconomic status, sexual activity, contraceptive use, maternal and child health, women’s empowerment, domestic violence, etc. The women’s data file, which contains information on demographic characteristics of women of childbearing age as well as the use of contraceptive methods, was used in this study. Further information about the 2017-2018 PDHS is provided in the full report (National Institute… and ICF 2019).
A two-stage stratified sample design was employed to select study participants and estimate the key indicators at the national level, as well as in urban and rural areas. In the first stage, 580 enumeration blocks (EBs) were selected from a list of clusters based on the 2017 Pakistan Population and Housing Census sample frame. For the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), an EB is a geographical area that covers on average 200 to 250 households (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics 2020). These EBs were chosen independently basing on the probability proportional to size. The second stage involved a systematic sampling of 16,240 households within each cluster from which all ever-married women of childbearing age (15–49 years), who were either permanent residents of the household or visitors who stayed over in the household the night before the survey were eligible to be interviewed. A total of 15,930 women were eligible to participate and 15,068 were successfully interviewed with a 94.6% response rate National Institute… and ICF 2019).
The study sample was limited to married women of childbearing age (n=10,282), who were sexually active during the last 3 months prior to the survey. This limitation was due to the fact that during the 2017-2018 PDHS only married women were interviewed (National Institute… and ICF 2019). Married women who were not sexually active during this period were excluded from the final analysis. Figure
Modern contraceptive use was the main outcome variable. To derive this variable, all married women were asked of the current use by method type. It was measured as a binary variable with the response categories of 1 = Yes (If the participants reported using modern contraceptives) and 0 = No (If the participants reported using traditional/folkloric/no method) during the last three months prior to the survey.
Several individual and community-level explanatory variables presented in Table
Independent variables | Name | Categories | Variable type |
Individual level | Women’s age | Less than 25, 25-29, 30-34, 35-39, 40 and above | Ordinal |
Women’s education level | No formal education, Primary, Secondary, Higher | Ordinal | |
Partner’s education level | No formal education, Primary, Secondary, Higher | Ordinal | |
Currently employed | Yes, No | Nominal | |
Knowledge of contraceptive methods | Doesn’t know any method, Knows only traditional methods, Knows modern methods | Nominal | |
Number of living children | Less than 3, 3-4, 5 and above | Ordinal | |
Community level | Region | Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, ICT Islamabad, FATA | Nominal |
Fieldworker visit | Yes, No | Nominal | |
Health facility visit | Yes, No | Nominal | |
Wealth index | Poorest, Poorer, Middle, Richer, Richest | Ordinal | |
Exposure to mass media family planning messages | Yes, No | Nominal |
Univariate descriptive statistics (frequency, percentage, mean, and standard deviation) were used to describe socio-demographic profiles of the respondents. Then, bivariate analyses were carried out to assess the prevalence of modern contraceptive use by socio-demographic parameter, and to explore independent associations (Pearson’s chi-square test) between the outcome variable and each covariate. Further, binary logistic regression model was estimated to identify significant factors associated with modern contraceptive use among married women in Pakistan. Model fitness was checked with Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness of fit test (p=0.12 >0.05). To detect potential multicollinearity, we used the variance inflation factor (VIF) at a cut-off point of 10 (
Permission to utilize the 2017-2018 PHDHS was obtained from the demographic health survey program (https://dhsprogram.com/data/available-datasets.cfm). The survey protocol was retrieved and approved by the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations and Coordination (NHSRC), and Institutional Review Board (IRB) of ICF Macro. Informed consent was obtained at the beginning of each interview by the PDHS data collectors (National Institute… and ICF 2019).
Slightly more than 20% of the respondents were under 25 years, while 21.3% were aged 40 years and above (Appendix Table
Figure
Although prevalence of modern contraceptive use remains very low within this population, it varies significantly depending on socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents (all p-values < 0.05) (Appendix Table
In binary logistic regression, women’s age, region, women’s education level, wealth index, fieldworker visit, and number of children were significantly associated with modern contraceptive use among married women in Pakistan (Appendix Table
Women in the 25-29, 30-34, and 35-39 age groups had 1.3 higher odds (aOR = 1.30, 1.31 and 1.26, respectively) of using modern contraceptives than those aged 40 and above. The odds of using modern contraceptives decreased by 50% (aOR = 0.50) among women from Balochistan compared to those from Punjab. Also, the results show that the odds of using modern contraceptives were lower among women without any formal education (aOR = 0.49), primary education (aOR = 0.67), secondary education (aOR = 0.74) compared to their peers with the highest education levels. Similarly, the odds of using modern contraceptives were lower among women from the poorest households (aOR = 0.54) than those from the richest ones. Being exposed to mass media family planning (FP) messages was associated with the increased odds (aOR = 1.33) of using modern contraceptives. In addition, the odds of using modern contraceptives decreased by 85% (aOR = 0.15) and 39% (aOR = 0.61) among women who had less than 3 children and 3-4 children, respectively compared to their peers with 5 or more children.
The study has investigated the factors associated with the modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan using the latest data from the PDHS 2017-18. The estimated prevalence of modern contraceptive use equals to 27.7% (95% CI: 26.8-28.6). However, there are differences between South Asian countries like Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Maldives and Pakistan (
The results also show that the respondent’s age, region, education level, wealth index, social fieldworker visit, and number of children were identified as determinants of modern contraceptive use. Women with higher education levels are more likely to use modern contraceptive methods. This result corroborates those of previous studies in India (
The odds of using modern contraceptives among women in the 25-29, 30-34, and 35-39 age groups increased compared with those in the 40+ age group. In line with previous pieces of research in Iran (
Region is significantly associated with modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan. Women in Balochistan province are less likely to use modern contraceptives compared to their counterparts from Punjab province. Balochistan is the least developed province in Pakistan with poor health and education infrastructure (UNDP 2020). This means that women from this region are much underserved by both information and family planning services. Balochistan is a very traditional province where large families are highly valued, preventing women from using modern contraceptive methods (
Similarly, the study has revealed that wealth index is a significant predictor of modern contraceptive use. Women from poor households are less likely to use modern contraceptive methods compared to those from rich households. Consistent with research from Afghanistan (
Another important factor associated with the use of modern contraceptives by women identified by this study is a fieldworker visit. The odds of using modern contraceptives among women who were visited by a fieldworker increased compared to those who were not visited by a fieldworker. The plausible reason is that fieldworkers are a source of information for women in urban slums, small towns and villages (
The study has several strengths. It presents evidence that supports the importance of understanding modern contraceptive use among sexually active married women in Pakistan, which could have important implications for sexual and reproductive health policy in Pakistan. Furthermore, the study involved a large sample size, and information on contraceptive use was collected using the standard tools.
However, the study’s findings are limited in some way. First, due to the nature of the study design, it was not possible to establish a cause-effect relationship. Second, the study focused on married women only, and excluded all women who were single/separated/divorced during the data collection. Third, the study may be affected by recall bias. At last, the definition of “sexually active” used in this study is not universal. In fact, this concept varies from one study to another (
Prevalence of modern contraceptive use is low among sexually active married women in Pakistan. Women from Balochistan province, young age groups, less educated, poorest, those not visited by a fieldworker and having less than 5 children are less likely to use modern contraceptive methods. The findings suggest that the family planning outreach and modern contraceptive services should be expanded in Balochistan province and to the poorest and less educated women. The information campaigns about modern contraceptive methods should be increased and men should also be included in such campaigns. Integrating family planning in public health programs and services could cover a large share of population. Also, including family planning services in universal health coverage will reduce the out-of-pocket cost burden on the general population and particularly on poor couples.
The authors would like to thank Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program for the approval to use the 2017-2018 PDHS data.
The dataset used in this study is available from:
https://dhsprogram.com/data/dataset/Pakistan_Standard-DHS_2017.cfm?flag=0
Abortion in Pakistan (2009) In Brief Series, N°2. Guttmacher Institute, New York. URL: https://www.guttmacher.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/ib_abortion-in-pakistan_1.pdf
Elkasabi M (2015) Sampling and Weighting with DHS Data. URL: https://blog.dhsprogram.com/sampling-weighting-at-dhs/ (accessed: April 8, 2020)
National Institute of Population Studies (NIPS) [Pakistan], ICF (2019) Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey 2017-18. NIPS and ICF, Islamabad, Pakistan and Rockville, Maryland, USA. URL: https://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR354/FR354.pdf
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (2020) Final Results (Census-2017). URL: https://www.pbs.gov.pk/content/final-results-census-2017.
UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2020) World Family Planning 2020: Highlights: Accelerating Action to Ensure Universal Access to Family Planning. United Nations. https://doi.org/10.18356/9789210052009
UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2022) World Population Prospects 2022 Online Edition. URL: https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/
UNDP (2020) Pakistan National Human Development Report 2020. The three Ps of inequality: Power, People, and Policy. URL: https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/migration/pk/NHDR-Inequality-2020---Overview-Low-Res.pdf
World Bank (2022) Poverty headcount ratio at national poverty lines (% of population) – Pakistan. URL: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.NAHC?locations=PK
World Bank, OECD (2022) National accounts data. URL: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=PK&most_recent_value_desc
WHO (2018) World health statistics 2018: monitoring health for the SDGs, sustainable development goals. World Health Organization, Geneva. URL: https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/272596 (accessed: December 12, 2022).
WPP UN (2022) Standard projections (Estimates and Projection scenarios). URL: https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/
Socio-demographic characteristics | Married women sexually active | |
---|---|---|
N | Percentage | |
Age | ||
Less than 25 | 2105 | 20.5 |
25-29 | 2128 | 20.7 |
30-34 | 2037 | 19.8 |
35-39 | 1822 | 17.7 |
40 and above | 2189 | 21.3 |
Place of residence | ||
Urban | 3856 | 37.5 |
Rural | 6426 | 62.5 |
Region | ||
Punjab | 5357 | 52.1 |
Sindh | 2480 | 24.1 |
KPK | 1577 | 15.3 |
Balochistan | 588 | 5.7 |
ICT/FATA | 280 | 2.7 |
Education level | ||
No formal education | 5042 | 49.0 |
Primary | 1699 | 16.5 |
Secondary | 2199 | 21.4 |
Higher | 1343 | 13.1 |
Partner’s education levela | ||
No formal education | 3102 | 30.2 |
Primary | 1571 | 15.3 |
Secondary | 3535 | 34.4 |
Higher | 2044 | 19.9 |
Don’t know | 30 | 0.3 |
Wealth Index | ||
Poorest | 1907 | 18.5 |
Poorer | 2019 | 19.6 |
Middle | 2100 | 20.4 |
Richer | 2078 | 20.2 |
Richest | 2177 | 21.2 |
Currently employed | ||
Yes | 1716 | 16.7 |
No | 8563 | 83.3 |
Knowledge of contraceptive methods | ||
Doesn’t know any method | 180 | 1.8 |
Knows only traditional methods | 15 | 0.1 |
Knows modern methods | 10087 | 98.1 |
Exposure to FP messages (medias) | ||
Yes | 2482 | 24.1 |
No | 7800 | 75.9 |
Fieldworker visit | ||
Yes | 5529 | 53.8 |
No | 4753 | 46.2 |
Health facility visit | ||
Yes | 7609 | 26.0 |
No | 2670 | 74.0 |
Number of children | ||
Less than 3 | 4620 | 44.9 |
3-4 | 3182 | 31.0 |
5 and above | 2480 | 24.1 |
Total | 10282 | 100.0 |
Bivariable association between modern contraceptive use and socio-demographic characteristics of the study population
Socio-demographic characteristics | Modern contraceptive use | P-value | |
---|---|---|---|
Yes (N/%) | No (N/%) | ||
Age | 0.000 | ||
Less than 25 | 278 (13.2) | 1827 (86.8) | |
25-29 | 512 (24.1) | 1616 (75.9) | |
30-34 | 679 (33.3) | 1358 (66.7) | |
35-39 | 644 (35.3) | 1178 (64.7) | |
40 and above | 732 (33.4) | 1457 (66.6) | |
Place of residence | 0.000 | ||
Urban | 1209 (31.4) | 2647 (68.6) | |
Rural | 1636 (25.5) | 4790 (74.5) | |
Region | 0.000 | ||
Punjab | 1626 (30.4) | 3731 (69.6) | |
Sindh | 648 (26.1) | 1832 (73.9) | |
KPK | 421 (26.7) | 1156 (73.3) | |
Balochistan | 87 (14.8) | 501 (85.2) | |
ICT/FATA | 64 (22.9) | 216 (77.1) | |
Education level | 0.000 | ||
No formal education | 1190 (23.6) | 3851 (76.4) | |
Primary | 528 (31.1) | 1170 (68.9) | |
Secondary | 670 (30.5) | 1529 (69.5) | |
Higher | 457 (34.0) | 886 (66.0) | |
Partner’s education level | 0.000 | ||
No formal education | 733 (23.6) | 2369 (76.4) | |
Primary | 479 (30.5) | 1092 (69.5) | |
Secondary | 972 (27.5) | 2563 (72.5) | |
Higher | 651 (31.8) | 1393 (68.2) | |
Don’t know | 10 (33.3) | 20 (66.7) | |
Wealth Index | 0.000 | ||
Poorest | 358 (18.8) | 1549 (81.2) | |
Poorer | 501 (24.8) | 1519 (75.2) | |
Middle | 626 (29.8) | 1474 (70.2) | |
Richer | 644 (31.0) | 1434 (69.0) | |
Richest | 716 (32.9) | 1461 (67.1) | |
Currently employed | 0.000 | ||
Yes | 538 (31.4) | 1178 (68.6) | |
No | 2307 (26.9) | 6256 (73.1) | |
Exposure to FP messages (medias) | 0.000 | ||
Yes | 813 (32.8) | 1668 (67.2) | |
No | 2032 (26.1) | 5768 (73.9) | |
Fieldworker visit | 0.000 | ||
Yes | 1723 (31.2) | 3806 (68.8) | |
No | 1122 (23.6) | 3631 (76.4) | |
Health facility visit | 0.000 | ||
Yes | 2179 (28.6) | 5430 (71.4) | |
No | 665 (24.9) | 2005 (75.1) | |
Number of children | |||
Less than 3 | 611 (13.2) | 4009 (86.8) | 0.000 |
3-4 | 1196 (37.6) | 1986 (62.4) | |
5 and above | 1037 (41.8) | 1442 (58.2) | |
Total | 2845 (27.7) | 7437 (72.3) |
Binary logistic regression of modern contraceptive use among Pakistan married women by socio-demographic parameters
Socio-demographic characteristics | Unadjusted Odds Ratio cOR (95% CI) | Adjusted Odds Ratio aOR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|
Age | ||
Less than 25 | 0.30*** (0.25 - 0.37) | 1.12 (0.87 - 1.46) |
25-29 | 0.63*** (0.53 - 0.76) | 1.30* (1.05 - 1.60) |
30-34 | 0.99 (0.84 - 1.19) | 1.31** (1.07 - 1.59) |
35-39 | 1.09 (0.91 - 1.30) | 1.26* (1.05 - 1.53) |
Ref = 40 and above | ||
Place of residence | ||
Urban | 1.34*** (1.19 - 1.50) | 1.04 (0.89 - 1.22) |
Ref = Rural | ||
Region | ||
Sindh | 0.81** (0.71 - 0.93) | 0.95 (0.81 - 1.12) |
KPK | 0.84* (0.72 - 0.98) | 0.98 (0.82 - 1.16) |
Balochistan | 0.40*** (0.32 - 0.50) | 0.50*** (0.39 - 0.65) |
ICT/FATA | 0.67*** (0.56 - 0.81) | 0.86 (0.70 - 1.07) |
Ref = Punjab | ||
Education level | ||
No formal education | 0.60*** (0.50 - 0.71) | 0.49*** (0.38 - 0.64) |
Primary | 0.88 (0.71 - 1.08) | 0.67** (0.52 - 0.88) |
Secondary | 0.85 (0.70 - 1.04) | 0.74** (0.59 - 0.93) |
Ref = Higher | ||
Partner’s education level | ||
No formal education | 0.66*** (0.56 - 0.78) | 0.95 (0.77 - 1.18) |
Primary | 0.94 (0.77 - 1.14) | 1.07 (0.85 - 1.35) |
Secondary | 0.81** (0.69 - 0.95) | 0.89 (0.74 - 1.07) |
Don’t know | 1.09 (0.36 - 3.28) | 1.23 (0.43 - 3.54) |
Ref = Higher | ||
Wealth Index | ||
Poorest | 0.47*** (0.39 - 0.57) | 0.54*** (0.40 - 0.72) |
Poorer | 0.67*** (0.56 - 0.81) | 0.80 (0.62 - 1.04) |
Middle | 0.87 (0.73 - 1.03) | 0.95 (0.76 - 1.18) |
Richer | 0.92 (0.77 - 1.09) | 1.02 (0.83 - 1.24) |
Ref = Richest | ||
Currently employed | ||
Yes | 1.18* (1.01 - 1.38) | 1.12 (0.95 - 1.32) |
Ref = No | ||
Exposure to FP messages (medias) | ||
Yes | 1.38*** (1.21 - 1.58) | 1.11 (0.95 - 1.29) |
Ref = No | ||
Fieldworker visit | ||
Yes | 1.46*** (1.30 - 1.65) | 1.33*** (1.17 - 1.52) |
Ref = No | ||
Health facility visit | ||
Yes | 1.20** (1.06 - 1.36) | 1.03 (0.90 - 1.18) |
Ref = No | ||
Number of children | ||
Less than 3 | 0.21*** (0.18 - 0.25) | 0.15*** (0.12 - 0.18) |
3-4 | 0.84* (0.72 - 0.97) | 0.61*** (0.52 - 0.72) |
Ref = 5 and above |
Yasmeen Jamali – PhD in Demography, assistant professor at School of Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences (AHSS), Habib University, Karachi, 75290, Pakistan. Email: yasmeenjamali@gmail.com
Jean Simon David - PhD in Demography, researcher at Recherches Appliquées et Interdisciplinaires sur les Violences intimes, familiales et structurelles (RAIV), Québec, G1V 0A6, Canada. Email: djeansimon90@yahoo.fr