Research Article |
Corresponding author: Elizaveta Komyaginskaya ( ekomyaginskaya@hse.ru ) © 2025 Albina Gallyamova, Elizaveta Komyaginskaya, Anna Vasyunina, Dmitry Grigoryev.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Gallyamova A, Komyaginskaya E, Vasyunina A, Grigoryev D (2025) Demography and Culture in Russia: Life History Trade-Offs in Regional Differences. Population and Economics 9(1): 155-172. https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.9.e139731
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This study investigates the links between life history strategy (LHS), IQ, and individualism/collectivism (IND/COL) across Russian regions. It is the first to examine regional differences in LHS, illustrating how biological trade-offs are linked to cultural values within a country and separately considering the role of cognitive abilities in this relationship. We hypothesize that cultural differences between regions can be understood through human behavioral ecology, specifically the trade-offs associated with LHS. Data from 83 Russian regions were used to create indices for slow LHS (sLHS) and IND/COL. The sLHS index included indicators like teenage fertility rates, rates of third or higher births, average height, educational attainment, and interest in human sexual behavior (using Google Trends data). The IND/COL index was constructed from indicators like the proportion of multigenerational and single-person households, divorce rates, and search data indicating ingroup identity expression. Regional IQ scores were derived from a large-scale online test administered to over 230.000 individuals across these regions. Our findings reveal strong positive correlations between sLHS, IQ, and IND/COL across Russian regions. Mediation analysis suggests that IQ likely fully mediates the relationship between sLHS and IND/COL. Geographical analysis showed clear patterns of spatial clustering, with gradients linked to latitude and altitude. Additionally, five latent regional profiles emerged from the data, indicating distinct patterns among the regions. These results, while acknowledging certain limitations, underscore the importance of LHS in understanding regional cultural differences. They also point to the need for Russian social policies to adapt to the unique characteristics of each region.
individualism/collectivism, regional IQ, life history strategy, cultural values, phenotypic plasticity, human behavioral ecology, regional differences, Russia
Culture sets the fundamental principles for human interaction, which makes it quite natural to focus on the study of cultural characteristics when examining similarities and differences between societies. In the social sciences, the approach of cultural dimensions dominates in these contexts (
It is important to note that a significant portion of the research focuses on the individualism–collectivism dimension (IND/COL), which is a reliable predictor of socio-economic development (
Current cross-cultural research often overlooks the complex role of the ecological context in shaping cultures, resulting in a limited understanding of the mechanisms and causes that determine behavior within cultural groups (
The human life history strategy framework. Source: Adapted from
To understand regional culture through the lens of human behavioral ecology, it is first necessary to consider the evolutionary basis of human behavior. If the primary goal of all biological species is gene transmission, then life history strategy (LHS) is the set of behavioral trade-offs required for successful gene transmission (
Under conditions of high external (uncontrolled) mortality, the fast life history strategy (fLHS) is more adaptive, as it focuses on maximizing the use of all available resources in the short term. With fLHS, resources, energy, and time are directed primarily toward reproduction rather than raising offspring, resulting in a larger number of children (
Human populations around the world have evolved in diverse environmental and social contexts, making population-level differences in LHS virtually inevitable. These differences in LHS have become a fertile area of scientific research. Psychological studies of human LHS often focus on the influence of environmental factors on the formation of adaptive trade-offs, which manifest in personality traits and behavioral patterns. However, behavioral repertoires also shape social norms that govern the functioning of society. Accordingly, the integrated model of social biogeography (
According to the integrated model of social biogeography, when sLHS prevails, selection favors individuals with high generalized prosociality and the ability to form stable relationships characterized by a high level of cooperation. In such populations, societies with strong intragroup cooperation and economic specialization develop, leading to greater social equality and economic advancement. Conversely, when fLHS prevails, individuals who can endure constant competition are better adapted; in these contexts, cohesion and cooperation are limited to a narrow group, while individuals outside this group are perceived as threats. In such societies, high levels of intragroup and intergroup competition lead to challenges in economic development (e.g., increased corruption), and crime and violence are more prevalent.
Thus, at the national level, variations in the speed of an individual’s life history have been found to be associated with factors such as cognitive abilities, as assessed by IQ tests, and human capital (
It is important to understand that, although differences in cognitive abilities are largely due to biological predispositions (
Although LHS and culture are interrelated phenomena, it is important to recognize that, unlike animals that rely solely on biological mechanisms to manage their resources, humans have evolved the ability to create cultural mechanisms and shape niches that support collective adaptations. These cultural adaptations include the formation of social structures that enable more efficient allocation of time and energy within a group, allowing for a level of social organization that far surpasses that of other species. In other words, human societies are unique in their ability to collectively regulate biological trade-offs through social norms. For example, in China, the biological trade-off between offspring quantity and quality was deliberately managed through government restrictions on family size, leading to a sharp decline in fertility rates (
Thus, it is not accurate to claim that culture is merely a derivative of LHS; rather, it comprises specific institutions developed through ultrasociality that enable individuals to cooperatively address biological challenges. These cultural institutions facilitate resource allocation within groups, supporting survival, reproduction, maintenance, and growth. We therefore propose viewing culture as a set of collective solutions to these LHS trade-offs. In other words, human societies, unlike other species, can regulate biological trade-offs collectively through social norms. Consequently, differences in IND/COL may largely reflect population-specific mechanisms for resource allocation.
In this study, we focus on regional differences within Russia, a unique context where regions with diverse ecological conditions and historical backgrounds coexist. Early studies on IND/COL in Russia indicate that most Russians today support IND norms, likely due to the strong European influence on Russian culture. Moreover, it is suggested that the level of IND in Russia may gradually increase over time (
However, at the regional level, the degree of IND can vary significantly; for example, Stavropol exhibited IND levels similar to those in India, while Tyumen was more comparable to Canada and the Netherlands (
Several studies have focused on regional differences in IND/COL within Russia. Data from representative sociological surveys conducted in 14 regions revealed that IND/COL exhibited the most significant regional variation among all of Hofstede’s cultural dimensions (
However, previous studies on this topic have several limitations. In some, the analysis is restricted to a small number of regions, and the IND/COL indices are derived from population survey data (
The analysis included 83 regions of Russia. Using regional data, indices for LHS and IND/COL were constructed by calculating the sum of weighted indicators based on the results of principal component analysis.
The following data were used as indicators for the sLHS index, reflecting the main trade-offs of LHS – namely, reproduction (mating versus parenting, quantity versus quality), maintenance, and development (
Both sourced from the interdepartmental database of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) (https://rosstat.gov.ru/emiss).
The sLHS index, where low values indicate a tendency toward fLHS and high values indicate a tendency toward sLHS (see Figure
The following data were used as indicators for the IND/COL index, in accordance with the literature (see
Both indicators were calculated based on data from the 2010 All-Russia Population Census (https://rosstat.gov.ru/free_doc/new_site/perepis2010/croc/results.html).
These data were adjusted for regional housing affordability using regression analysis, retaining only the residuals – that is, the portions of the data not explained by housing affordability.
Additionally, statistics on Google Trends queries were used to reflect the degree of ingroup identity expression:
The IND/COL index, where lower values indicate greater COL and higher values indicate greater IND (see Figure
Finally, the used regional IQ estimates were gathered through a voluntary online military fitness test for contract service (
The rankings of Russian regions based on the focal variables are presented in Table
There was a strong positive correlation (p < 0.001) among the variables: between IND/COL and sLHS (r = 0.71), IND/COL and IQ (r = 0.81), and sLHS and IQ (r = 0.85). Additionally, Moran’s I indices indicated moderate to strong spatial autocorrelation for each variable: IND/COL (I = 0.72), sLHS (I = 0.48), and IQ (I = 0.61).
The results of the mediation analysis are shown in Figure
Moreover, there was a positive correlation with latitude for IND/COL (r = 0.63, p < 0.001), sLHS (r = 0.34, p = 0.002), and IQ (r = 0.58, p < 0.001). Conversely, a negative correlation was observed with altitude for IND/COL (r = –0.61, p < 0.001), sLHS (r = –0.63, p < 0.001), and IQ (r = –0.72, p < 0.001), as well as with longitude for sLHS (r = –0.33, p = 0.002) and IQ (r = –0.22, p = 0.041), except for IND/COL (r = 0.12, p = 0.288).
We then used Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), which analyzes local subsets of data around each point of interest, to examine the relationship between IND/COL, sLHS, and IQ across different locations. Unlike conventional regression, which provides a single global estimate of associations between variables, GWR generates local estimates that vary across locations. This approach allows us to identify spatial non-stationarity, meaning it reveals how relationships between variables change across geographic regions.
Using approximately 37–38 nearby points for each location provided the best model fit. The association between sLHS and IND/COL was consistently positive, ranging from 0.03 to 1.05, indicating a uniformly positive relationship, though with varying strength across locations. In contrast, the association with IQ was generally positive but ranged from –4.33 to 37.18, meaning that in some areas, higher IQ was strongly associated with higher IND, while in others, the effect was weaker or even slightly negative. Overall, the GWR model explained about 85% of the variance in IND/COL, indicating a strong but locally varying association. Similarly, for IQ, the association with sLHS was generally positive, ranging from –0.01 to 0.03, with variations in strength across locations. This model explained approximately 78% of the variance in IQ.
Finally, Spatial Lag Models (SAR) were calculated, and Moran’s I for the residuals revealed no significant spatial autocorrelation, indicating that the models fully account for spatial relationships. When sLHS and IND/COL were analyzed separately, both the direct effect of sLHS within a region (p < 0.001) and its indirect effect through neighboring regions (p = 0.006) were significant. However, when IQ was added to the model, both the direct (p = 0.116) and indirect (p = 0.986) effects of sLHS became non-significant. For IQ, only the direct effect on IND/COL was significant (p < 0.001), while the indirect effect through neighboring regions was not significant (p = 0.521). When examining the association of sLHS with IQ, both the direct and indirect effects of sLHS remained significant (p < 0.001).
In summary, our results showed that IND/COL, sLHS, and IQ were strongly positively related, with moderate (for sLHS) to strong (for IQ and IND/COL) regional clustering, as well as notable latitudinal and altitudinal gradients. Furthermore, the relationships among IND/COL, sLHS, and IQ varied across regions: while IND/COL and sLHS were always positively related, the strength of this relationship differed by location. The relationship between IND/COL and IQ was generally positive, but could be slightly negative in some areas. Effects of sLHS were observed both within regions and via neighboring regions; however, these effects disappeared when IQ was included in the analysis. Conversely, there was a strong relationship between sLHS and IQ both within regions and via neighboring regions. Overall, our findings support the interpretation of IQ as a mediator in the relationship between sLHS and IND/COL.
In addition to examining the relationships between variables, we conducted a latent profile analysis using maximum likelihood modeling to classify regions into distinct profiles. A variable class diagonal parameterization model (with variable variance and zero covariance) was fitted to the IND/COL, sLHS, and IQ data, revealing that the model with five profiles provided the best fit. The model’s entropy was 0.933 (maximum = 1), indicating high accuracy in profile differentiation; in other words, all regions were clearly classified into the appropriate profiles with minimal risk of overlap or misclassification. The results of the regional profile groupings are presented in Figure
IND/COL | sLHS | IQ |
Top 5 regions with the highest rates | ||
Murmansk region | Moscow city | Saint Petersburg |
Magadan region | Saint Petersburg | Yaroslavl region |
Yaroslavl region | Tomsk region | Moscow city |
Saint Petersburg | Kaliningrad region | Kirov region |
Novgorod region | Yaroslavl region | Chuvashia |
Top 5 regions with the lowest rates | ||
Ingushetia | Chechnya | Ingushetia |
Chechnya | Tyva | Tyva |
Dagestan | Ingushetia | Chechnya |
Kabardino-Balkaria | Dagestan | Dagestan |
Karachay-Cherkessia | Kabardino-Balkaria | Kabardino-Balkaria |
This study represents a first step toward understanding the role of life history trade-offs in shaping culture and contributes to the analysis of regional differences in IND/COL, both globally and within Russia. Our results show that sLHS, IQ, and IND/COL are positively related, with a strong overall relationship that varies somewhat across regions. Five latent regional profiles with high classification accuracy were identified based on the variables examined. Additionally, geographical gradients were observed: the variables included in the analysis were positively associated with latitude and negatively associated with longitude (except for IND/COL) and altitude.
In studying between-group differences in LHS, countries are most often the primary unit of analysis, leaving regional differences within countries largely unexplored, despite clear foundations for such studies. First, regional differences in LHS are also observed within populations of other species (
Our study contributes significantly to understanding how regional differences in biological trade-offs within a single country relate to cultural variation. In contrast to our approach – which used geographic indicators (latitude, altitude, longitude) exclusively – existing studies on this topic have typically employed the brumal factor, emphasizing the influence of low temperatures on LHS formation. For example, in European countries like Italy and Spain, the brumal factor was positively associated with sLHS, whereas in Mexico, the association was negative (
Previous studies have also shown that higher IQ was characteristic of countries with a sLHS (
On the other hand, the relationship between sLHS and IND aligns with the strategic differentiation-integration hypothesis (
The latitudinal gradient of IQ and IND aligns with previous findings, which explain this relationship in two ways. First, colder climates pose greater survival challenges, requiring higher cognitive abilities to adapt successfully in such environments (
The negative correlation between altitude and IQ mirrors patterns observed at the national level. Interestingly, however, this relationship is not evident in the United States. This may be explained by the fact that the United States is a country of settlers, whose cultural norms and achievements were “imported” from various regions and do not necessarily reflect long-term adaptations to local conditions. This has allowed settlers to cope with environmental challenges without the need for significant transformation. It is important to note that theoretical explanations for these associations remain underdeveloped, as the classical explanation involving the negative impact of chronic hypoxia lacks convincing empirical support (
We suggest that at higher altitudes, lower population IQ may be due to geographic and socio-economic factors: lowland regions with extensive river networks and proximity to the sea were more likely to foster urban development. These cities facilitated population concentration, the growth of industry, trade, and education, and attracted diverse populations, thereby stimulating knowledge exchange and innovation. The expansion of shipping, trade, and communication networks in these areas also promoted economic growth, urbanization, and the establishment of educational and scientific institutions, which in turn attracted new ideas, technologies, and cultural values, raising overall IQ levels. Conversely, remoteness from the sea and high altitude may limit access to global networks and resources, potentially reducing urbanization and educational opportunities. This aligns with prior studies that emphasize the impact of social and economic factors on the development of regions at varying altitudes (
In addition, moderate (for sLHS) and strong (for IQ and IND/COL) regional clustering is observed in Russia. This suggests that these variables remain stable within certain spatial distances between regions. The sLHS is more influenced by environmental conditions, which in practice can vary widely from one region to another, while IQ and IND/COL measures are more susceptible to social influences and selective migration. Our results align with patterns found in previous studies (e.g.,
Interestingly, in Russia, relatively low spatial autocorrelation was found for educational achievements based on Unified State Exam results across all specialties at universities within each region. This outcome largely reflects the level of educational infrastructure in each region rather than the intellectual potential of its residents (
Despite the strengths of our study, it has several limitations. First, the cross-sectional design does not allow us to draw conclusions about causality or the direction of the relationships. Although our hypotheses suggest that sLHS contributes to cultural differences, we cannot definitively assess this with the current data. Our statistical model, which assumes full mediation, does not contradict this interpretation but does not strongly support it either. Additionally, we cannot evaluate reciprocal influences – namely, the possibility that IND or IQ may not only influence the slowing of sLHS but may themselves be subject to a reverse effect from sLHS, further reinforcing sLHS. It is possible that interactions among these variables align with the concept of multilevel selection, in which selection pressures generate both biological and social outcomes (
In our work, we rely on objective indicators to assess cultures, but it is important for future research to examine how LHS relates to subjective cultural values (
This study is the first in Russia to examine regional differences in LHS. Additionally, we integrated biological explanations into our understanding of cultural formation, identifying the role of IQ as a mediator between biological trade-offs and the social mechanisms that regulate them. The study also makes a significant contribution to the analysis of regional differences in LHS, IQ, and IND/COL measures, as well as the clustering of regions by these measures. Importantly, one practical outcome of this research was the identification of five groups of regions exhibiting similar patterns in both biological and cultural characteristics. These insights may prove useful for incorporating regional features into the development and adjustment of Russian social policy.
The authors express their gratitude to Mikael, a subscriber of the YouTube channel “Zachem my takie,” for his assistance in explaining the relationship between regional IQ and altitude.
The publication was prepared within the framework of the Academic Fund Program at HSE University (grant № 24-00-013 “Adaptive Foundations of Culture: Toward Understanding Cultural Orientations through the Lens of Life History Trade-Offs”).
Albina Gallyamova – Junior Research Fellow at the Center for Sociocultural Research. HSE University, 20 Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000, Russia. E-mail: aagallyamova@hse.ru
Elizaveta Komyaginskaya – Research Intern at the Center for Sociocultural Research. HSE University, 20 Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000, Russia. E-mail: ekomyaginskaya@hse.ru (corresponding author)
Anna Vasyunina – Research Intern at the International Laboratory for Population and Health Research. HSE University, 20 Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000, Russia. E-mail: avasyunina@hse.ru
Dmitry Grigoryev – Research Fellow at the Center for Sociocultural Research. HSE University, 20 Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000, Russia. E-mail: dgrigoryev@hse.ru
Dataset containing indicators for calculating regional indices used in the study